Proposed Process for Urban Development Plans Based on Foresight Approach
Subject Areas :1 , 2 , 3 , علی رضا بندرآباد 4
1 -
2 -
3 -
4 -
Keywords: Process Urban Development Plans Foresight Strategic planning principles,
Abstract :
In the past few decades, the traditional pattern of comprehensive plans has been criticized by a purely rational planning approach. The critique and evaluation of this method of study, first in the countries that invented the comprehensive plan and gradually transferred to other countries that producing the plan. Foresight study as a complementary complement to a strategic planning in cases where long-term planning is required has a high dynamic planning environment, there is a high degree of uncertainty in the system, the risk of planning failure is high. , The system has a lot of complexity, is used. This paper tries to identify the foresight approach indicators and process of developing urban development plans based on the foresight approach. The purpose of this research is in the field of fundamental-applied research, and is the dominant topic of interpretation and qualitative research approach. The method of collecting and processing data is through studying, viewing and interviewing. The method of data analysis using deep interviewing method and open questionnaire in the form of Delphi technique in order to obtain elite and expert opinions in the field of planning and future studies and in order to determine the indicators and criteria of the prospective study approach. Finally, the overall process of developing urban plans based on a fresight study approach is also expressed in terms of background and similar processes of foresight in the world and in Iran. The proposed process of this study consists of seven main stages of understanding, collecting information, analyzing information, screening and interpreting information, fresight, output (evaluation and decision), implementation and execution.